The political election cycle is a standard and predictable one: first there are primaries, then there are generals. Then there is either celebration or disappointment, followed by co-opting of credit or the pointing of fingers. And then…re-organization. Where the parties signal their level of satisfaction or anger with the direction of their party and choose their leadership accordingly. As is … Read More
Elections 2022: What We Learned About Arizona Politics (Candidate Edition)
As of writing on Wednesday night, there are STILL a few votes trickling in and waiting to be counted. In what would likely be the single tightest election for Arizona state races in our state’s history (and if we’re wrong, please show us where), there is almost certainly one race that is going in for a recount, and perhaps two. … Read More
Arizona Statewide Campaigns: The Final Sprint in the Money Race
We are in the final stretch for political campaigns, and the extremely important Q3 campaign finance reports were just released. These will give us our final peer into the financial capacities of campaigns before early ballots are mailed out, so we looked into the most critical statewide races to see how the candidates are doing. First, we start with the … Read More
Trump is Coming to Town, Cementing This Year’s Elections Dynamic: Team Trump versus the Democrats
Photo Credit: Ross D. Franklin, APIt was already obvious that Arizona’s statewide campaigns were turning into a pro-Trump vs Democrats referendum. That is now becoming even more blatant and clear as Trump will be holding a rally in Mesa on October 9th. Kari Lake and Blake Masters are singled out as the key benefactors of this benevolent visit by the … Read More
To Debate or Not to Debate: The Contrast in Conversation in the Arizona Governor’s and Secretary of State Race
By Ronald Sampson To debate or not to debate; that is normally not a question for close races. If you’re up by a large margin, it is more reasonable to simply shrug off the demand for one, but one would be hard pressed to find examples of Arizona candidates refusing to debate in a tight race. Yet that is what … Read More
Can Katie Hobbs Follow the Napolitano Path to the 9th Floor?
Arizona’s gubernatorial office, located on the 9th floor of the Executive Office downtown, has been constantly occupied by Republicans since the time of Janet Napolitano. This year, Katie Hobbs offers the best possibility for Dems to retake the 9th floor since Napolitano’s last term which ended in 2009. So can she follow that same template to victory? To be fair, … Read More
Does the Arizona GOP Have a Full-On Civil War on its Hands?
By Ronald Sampson Arizona isn’t a stranger to bitter GOP primaries; after all, in a right-leaning state, the winner of the primary is usually the winner of the general election. Real power is on the line, and whenever that’s the case things can get ugly and nasty. This year seems to be taking the cake however, it’s coming at an … Read More
Lake Leads the Field for the AZ Republican Gubernatorial Nomination
Data Orbital is pleased to announce the results of its latest statewide, mixed mode survey of likely Republican primary election voters. The survey was conducted from July 18th to July 20th. The survey tested all Republican candidates whose names will appear on the ballot for Governor in the upcoming August 2nd Republican primary. With mail-in ballots already being returned, Kari Lake shows … Read More
Guest Editorial: Dems are trying to help out Kari Lake, and Completely Forgot the Lessons of 2016
By Alexander Lomax I really wish I didn’t feel the need to talk about how the Arizona Democrats seem to be doing everything in their power to fail. The thought of GOP majorities and Kari Lake as Governor is not exactly a fun thought. I had hoped that after the Pima County Democratic Party’s abject failure to engage anyone near … Read More
The Breakdown – A Knife Fight for the 9th Floor: Arizona Governor
This Battle Royale has everything: drag queens, donations to Obama, prosciutto, skipped debates… As you almost certainly know by now, Arizona Governor Doug Ducey has been term limited and cannot run for another term. As such we will be electing a new Governor, allowing Ducey time to figure out a way to become Vice President regardless of who is elected … Read More